Department of Defense (DoD) installations are both globally distributed and geographically specific. As a result, DoD installations face a diverse and evolving array of challenges with implications to mission that are known and some that are unknown. This, the first of two sessions (Installation Resilience II), will begin with a discussion of the definitions of resilience and will, in addition, examine the concepts of regime shift and the implications that a return to the initial state may not be possible or even an optimal end-state. From this perspective, the session review research activities currently being pursued to understand resilience and regime shift as well as reviewing projects that are observing regimes shift. From this vantage point, the session will transition from science to engineering to examine systems that are being developed to increase the resilience of specific systems or infrastructure.

Session Chair: Dr. Kenneth Kunkel, North Carolina State University, kekunkel@ncsu.edu

Exploring the Basis for Skillful Projections of Decision-Relevant Climate Normals

Dr. Russell Vose, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

Automated Strategic Prioritization Matchmaking Tool to Facilitate Federal-Community Adaptation Implementation

Dr. Carolyn Stwertka, AAAS Science & Technology

Seasonal/Annual High Tide Flood Outlooks

Dr. William Sweet, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

New Approaches to IDF and Regional Flood Frequency Estimation

Dr. Dennis Lettenmaier, University of California, Los Angeles

Framework for the Analysis of Coastal Infrastructure Vulnerability

Dr. Patrick O'Brien, GAEA Consultants, LLC

A Risk-Based Approach to Planning Aircraft Acquisitions in a Warming Climate

Ms. Mary McRae, Villanova University