Vulnerability and Impact Assessment

SERDP and ESTCP efforts are developing region-specific tools and models to better predict climate change impacts, both to the natural features that protect coastal areas and to the built infrastructure.

Completed Projects List
Project Title Completed

Watershed to Local Scale Characteristics and Function of Intermittent and Ephemeral Streams on Military Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1725
Principal Investigator: Dr. David Cooper, Colorado State University
SERDP Jul 2015

An Ecohydrological Approach to Managing Intermittent and Ephemeral Streams on Department of Defense Lands in the Southwestern United States

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1727
Principal Investigator: Dr. Lainie Levick, University of Arizona
SERDP Jan 2015

Integrated Climate Change and Threatened Bird Population Modeling to Mitigate Operations Risks on Florida Military Installations

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1699
Principal Investigator: Dr. Igor Linkov, US Army ERDC
SERDP Jan 2013

Effects of Near-Term Sea-Level Rise on Coastal Infrastructure

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1700
Principal Investigator: Dr. Joseph Donoghue, Oklahoma State University
SERDP Mar 2013

Risk Quantification for Sustaining Coastal Military Installation Assets and Mission Capabilities

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1701
Principal Investigator: Ms. Kelly Burks-Copes, USACE - ERDC - EL
SERDP Jun 2014

Shoreline Evolution and Coastal Resiliency at Two Military Installations: Investigating the Potential for and Impacts of Loss of Protecting Barriers

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1702
Principal Investigator: Dr. Robert Evans, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
SERDP May 2014

A Methodology for Assessing the Impact of Sea Level Rise on Representative Military Installations in the Southwestern United States

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1703
Principal Investigator: Dr. Bart Chadwick, SPAWAR Systems Center
SERDP Mar 2014

Understanding and Combating the Fire-Enhancing Impact of Non-Native Annuals in Desert Scrub through the Tools of Population and Landscape Ecology

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1721
Principal Investigator: Dr. Claus Holzapfel, Rutgers University Newark
SERDP May 2015

Integrated Spatial Models of Non-Native Plant Invasion, Fire Risk, and Wildlife Habitat to Support Conservation on Military Lands in the Arid Southwest

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1722
Principal Investigator: Dr. Brett Dickson, Conservation Science Partners
SERDP Jun 2016

Understanding the Role of Typhoons, Fire, and Climate on the Vegetation Dynamics of Tropical Dry Forests: Looking to the Past to Develop Future Management Solutions

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1644
Principal Investigator: Dr. Jeffrey Donnelly, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
SERDP Apr 2010

Hydroecology of Intermittent and Ephemeral Streams: Will Landscape Connectivity Sustain Aquatic Organisms in a Changing Climate?

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1724
Principal Investigator: Dr. Julian Olden, University of Washington
SERDP Jul 2015

Structure and Function of Ephemeral Streams in the Arid and Semiarid Southwest: Implications for Conservation and Management

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1726
Principal Investigator: Dr. Juliet Stromberg, Arizona State University
SERDP Jul 2015

Decision Scaling: A Decision Framework for DoD Climate Risk Assessment and Adaptation Planning

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2204
Principal Investigator: Dr. Casey Brown, University of Massachusetts
SERDP Aug 2016

Assessing Climate Change Impacts for DoD Installations in the Southwest United States during the Warm Season

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2205
Principal Investigator: Dr. Christopher Castro, University of Arizona
SERDP Jul 2017

Understanding Data Needs for Vulnerability Assessment and Decision Making to Manage Vulnerability of DoD Installations to Climate Change

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2206
Principal Investigator: Dr. Richard Moss, Battelle, Pacific Northwest Division
SERDP Jul 2016

Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation on Southwestern DoD Facilities

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2232
Principal Investigator: Dr. Gregg Garfin, University of Arizona
SERDP Feb 2017

Climate Change Impacts to Department of Defense Installations

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2242
Principal Investigator: Dr. Veerabhadra Kotamarthi , Argonne National Laboratory
SERDP Jun 2017

Impacts of Changing Climate on Pacific Island-Based Defense Installations

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2336
Principal Investigator: Dr. Jeffrey Donnelly, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
SERDP Jan 1970

Advancing Best Practices for the Formulation of Localized Sea Level Rise/Coastal Inundation ‘Extremes’ Scenarios for Military Installations in the Pacific Islands

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2335
Principal Investigator: Dr. John Marra, NOAA National Climatic Data Center
SERDP Jul 2015

Defense Coastal / Estuarine Research Program

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2245
Principal Investigator: Ms. Coleen Northeim, Research Triangle Institute
SERDP Jan 2018

The Impact of Sea-Level Rise and Climate Change on Department of Defense Installations on Atolls in the Pacific Ocean

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2334
Principal Investigator: Dr. Curt Storlazzi, U.S. Geological Survey
SERDP Feb 2018

Water Resources on Guam: Potential Impacts and Adaptive Response to Climate Change for Department of Defense Installations

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2340
Principal Investigator: Dr. Stephen Gingerich, U.S. Geological Survey
SERDP Feb 2019

Identifying Indicators of State Change and Forecasting Future Vulnerability in Alaskan Boreal Ecosystems

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2109
Principal Investigator: Dr. Edward Schuur, University of Florida
SERDP Aug 2016

Addressing the Impacts of Climate Change on U.S. Army Alaska with Decision Support Tools Developed through Field Work and Modeling

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2110
Principal Investigator: Dr. Thomas Douglas, U.S. Army ERDC-CRREL
SERDP Aug 2016

Improved Understanding of Permafrost Controls on Hydrology in Interior Alaska by Integration of Ground-Based Geophysical Permafrost Characterization and Numerical Modeling

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2111
Principal Investigator: Dr. Michelle Walvoord, U.S. Geological Survey
SERDP May 2015

High-Frequency Analysis of Stream Chemistry to Establish Elemental Cycling Regimes of High-Latitude Catchments

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2507
Principal Investigator: Dr. Tamara Harms, University of Alaska Fairbanks
SERDP Nov 2016

Assessing White-nose Syndrome And Non-Stationary Changes On Bat Populations On And Near DoD Installations In The West

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2633
Principal Investigator: Dr. Sarah Olson, Wildlife Conservation Society
SERDP Jan 1970

Assessing the Impacts of Climate and Land Use/Land Cover Change on Valley Fever Incidence

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2650
Principal Investigator: Dr. Vicken Etyemezian, Desert Research Institute
SERDP Oct 2018

Effects of Climate Change on Plague Exposure Pathways and Resulting Disease Dynamics

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2634
Principal Investigator: Dr. Tonie Rocke, USGS National Wildlife Health Center
SERDP Aug 2020

Climate Changes Impacts on Fire Regimes, Plant Invasions, and Tick-Borne Diseases

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2636
Principal Investigator: Dr. Brian Allan, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
SERDP Jan 1970

Understanding Climatic Controls of Blacklegged Ticks and Lyme Disease: Experiments and Models to Quantify Risk in a Changing Climate

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2637
Principal Investigator: Mr. Richard Ostfeld, Cary Institute of Ecoystem Studies
SERDP Jan 1970

Effects of Climate on Host-pathogen Interactions in Chytridiomycosis

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2638
Principal Investigator: Dr. Corrine Richards-Zawacki, University of Pittsburgh
SERDP Jan 1970

The Role of Phenology and Phenology Change in the Transmission of Arthropod-Borne Diseases: Implications for Management on Military Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2639
Principal Investigator: Dr. Sharon Bewick, University of Maryland, College Park
SERDP Sep 2019

Understanding Species Persistence in Complex Landscapes with a Long-Term Metapopulation Study of Rare Flora

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2707
Principal Investigator: Dr. William Hoffmann, North Carolina State University
SERDP Jan 1970

Integrating Remote Sensing and Field Measurements to Identify Environmental Nonstationarity on Interior Alaska DoD Training Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1486
Principal Investigator: Jennifer Watts, The Woods Hole Research Center
SERDP Jun 2019

Next-Generation Rainfall IDF Curves for the Virginian Drainage Area of Chesapeake Bay

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1569
Principal Investigator: Xixi Wang, Old Dominion University
SERDP Jun 2019

Determining the Temporal and Spatial Scales of Nonstationarity in Temperature and Precipitation across the Continental United States for a Given Emissions Scenario

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1577
Principal Investigator: Daniel Feldman, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
SERDP Jan 1970

Research on the Efficacy of Applying a Supply Chain Paradigm and Economic Valuation Tools to Optimize Management Decision-Making and Enable Quantification of DoD Stewardship Value

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1615
Principal Investigator: Stephen Petron, CH2M HILL, Inc.
SERDP Jul 2019

SERDP Report:
Infrastructure Damage/Fragility Models and Data Quality Issues Associated with Department of Defense Climate Vulnerability and Impact Assessment (2015)

SERDP Report:
Assessing Impacts of Climate Change on Coastal Military Installations:
Policy Implications (2013)

NOAA Technical Report:
Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment (2012)