Vulnerability and Impact Assessment

SERDP and ESTCP efforts are developing region-specific tools and models to better predict climate change impacts, both to the natural features that protect coastal areas and to the built infrastructure.

Active Projects List
Project Title Start Date

Hydrologic Risk Forecaster (Hydro RF): Demonstration and Validation of Forecasting Model for Flooding and Infrastructure Risk on Military Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC19-5082
Principal Investigator: Dr. Daniel Gambill, Engineering Research and Development Center-Construction Engineering Research Laboratory (ERDC-CERL)
ESTCP Jan 2019

Weather Effects on the Lifecycle of DoD Equipment Replacement (WELDER): A Plug-in for the BUILDER Sustainment Management System

Project Information
Project ID: RC19-5264
Principal Investigator: Dr. Peter Larsen, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
ESTCP Jan 2019

Comparative Assessment of Total Water Levels for Coastal Military Facility Readiness and Resilience Using Numerical Models

Project Information
Project ID: RC21-5028
Principal Investigator: Dr. Jack Puleo, University of Delaware
ESTCP Jan 2021

Predictive Tools to Manage Altered Fire Regimes Caused by Plant Invasions in the Mojave Desert

Project Information
Project ID: RC-1723
Principal Investigator: Dr. Janelle Downs, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)
SERDP Mar 2010

Leptospirosis in Endangered Island Foxes and California Sea Lions: Outbreak Prediction and Prevention in a Changing World

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2635
Principal Investigator: Dr. James Lloyd-Smith, University of California, Los Angeles
SERDP Jan 2016

Climate Changes Impacts on Fire Regimes, Plant Invasions, and Tick-Borne Diseases

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2636
Principal Investigator: Dr. Brian Allan, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
SERDP Jan 2016

Understanding Climatic Controls of Blacklegged Ticks and Lyme Disease: Experiments and Models to Quantify Risk in a Changing Climate

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2637
Principal Investigator: Mr. Richard Ostfeld, Cary Institute of Ecoystem Studies
SERDP Jan 2016

Effects of Climate on Host-pathogen Interactions in Chytridiomycosis

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2638
Principal Investigator: Dr. Corrine Richards-Zawacki, University of Pittsburgh
SERDP Jan 2016

Advancing Best Practices for the Analysis of the Vulnerability of Military Installations in the Pacific Basin to Coastal Flooding under a Changing Climate

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2644
Principal Investigator: Dr. John Marra, NOAA National Climatic Data Center
SERDP Jan 2016

Useful Prediction of Climate Extreme Risk for Texas-Oklahoma at 4-6 Years

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2709
Principal Investigator: Dr. Shih-Yu Wang, Utah State University
SERDP Jan 2017

Variation in Phenological Shifts: How do Annual Cycles and Genetic Diversity Constrain or Enable Responses to Climate Change?

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2702
Principal Investigator: Dr. Julie Heath, Boise State University
SERDP Jan 2017

Predicting the Persistence of Salamanders: Consequences of Phenological Shifts for Species of Management Concern on DoD Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2703
Principal Investigator: Dr. Katherine O'Donnell, United States Geological Survey
SERDP Jan 2017

Will Climate-Mediated Phenological Shifts Affect Population Viability? A test with Butterflies on Department of Defense Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2700
Principal Investigator: Dr. Elizabeth Crone, Tufts University
SERDP Jan 2017

Exploring the Basis for Skillful Projections of Decision-Relevant Climate Normals

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2710
Principal Investigator: Dr. Russell Vose, National Centers for Environmental Information
SERDP Jan 2017

Developing an Experimental Predictive Framework for Climate Regime Shifts and Their Impacts Within a 2-20 Year Outlook Window

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2711
Principal Investigator: Dr. Michael Alexander, NOAA
SERDP Jan 2017

A Multidisciplinary Assessment of Cross-Boundary Mitigation

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1209
Principal Investigator: Liba Pejchar, Colorado State University
SERDP Jan 2018

Value and Resiliency of Ecosystem Services on Department of Defense (DoD) Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1605
Principal Investigator: Nate McDowell, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
SERDP Mar 2018

Material Fluxes through Small River Systems on the Alaskan North Slope

Project Information
Project ID: RC19-1382
Principal Investigator: Dr. Shawn Gallaher, United States Naval Academy
SERDP Jan 2019

Predicting Impacts of Species Loss on Ecosystem Resilience: an Experimental Test of a Novel Theoretical Framework

Project Information
Project ID: RC20-1420
Principal Investigator: Dr. Jinelle Sperry, ERDC CERL
SERDP Jun 2020

Modeling Compound Threats to Interdependent Infrastructure Systems on Military Installations

Project Information
Project ID: RC20-1091
Principal Investigator: Dr. Daniel Eisenberg, Naval Postgraduate School
SERDP Jun 2020

SERDP Report:
Infrastructure Damage/Fragility Models and Data Quality Issues Associated with Department of Defense Climate Vulnerability and Impact Assessment (2015)
 

SERDP Report:
Assessing Impacts of Climate Change on Coastal Military Installations:
Policy Implications (2013)

 
NOAA Technical Report:
Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment (2012)
 

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